OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with public pricing and benchmarks but immediately faced constrained rollout, including gated API access, staggered consumer availability, and no EU data-zone deployment. The primary driver of market sentiment is OpenAI’s own Preparedness Framework designation of the model as the first to reach “critical” cybersecurity capability, prompting pre-launch pauses, isolated testing, and limited release of advanced agentic features to alpha testers and Daybreak Blue partners only. Recent capacity strain from high demand led to a pause on new $200 ChatGPT Pro sign-ups, while quality bugs affecting thousands of users were fixed on September 12. Traders are watching whether these safety, infrastructure, and access restrictions evolve into a broader general removal of public channels by the market deadlines, versus a steady expansion to full Plus, Pro, and self-serve API users.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
4%
31 octobre
28%
$413 Vol.
30 septembre
$383 Vol.
4%
31 octobre
$30 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with public pricing and benchmarks but immediately faced constrained rollout, including gated API access, staggered consumer availability, and no EU data-zone deployment. The primary driver of market sentiment is OpenAI’s own Preparedness Framework designation of the model as the first to reach “critical” cybersecurity capability, prompting pre-launch pauses, isolated testing, and limited release of advanced agentic features to alpha testers and Daybreak Blue partners only. Recent capacity strain from high demand led to a pause on new $200 ChatGPT Pro sign-ups, while quality bugs affecting thousands of users were fixed on September 12. Traders are watching whether these safety, infrastructure, and access restrictions evolve into a broader general removal of public channels by the market deadlines, versus a steady expansion to full Plus, Pro, and self-serve API users.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$413Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with public pricing and benchmarks but immediately faced constrained rollout, including gated API access, staggered consumer availability, and no EU data-zone deployment. The primary driver of market sentiment is OpenAI’s own Preparedness Framework designation of the model as the first to reach “critical” cybersecurity capability, prompting pre-launch pauses, isolated testing, and limited release of advanced agentic features to alpha testers and Daybreak Blue partners only. Recent capacity strain from high demand led to a pause on new $200 ChatGPT Pro sign-ups, while quality bugs affecting thousands of users were fixed on September 12. Traders are watching whether these safety, infrastructure, and access restrictions evolve into a broader general removal of public channels by the market deadlines, versus a steady expansion to full Plus, Pro, and self-serve API users.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$413Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with public pricing and benchmarks but immediately faced constrained rollout, including gated API access, staggered consumer availability, and no EU data-zone deployment. The primary driver of market sentiment is OpenAI’s own Preparedness Framework designation of the model as the first to reach “critical” cybersecurity capability, prompting pre-launch pauses, isolated testing, and limited release of advanced agentic features to alpha testers and Daybreak Blue partners only. Recent capacity strain from high demand led to a pause on new $200 ChatGPT Pro sign-ups, while quality bugs affecting thousands of users were fixed on September 12. Traders are watching whether these safety, infrastructure, and access restrictions evolve into a broader general removal of public channels by the market deadlines, versus a steady expansion to full Plus, Pro, and self-serve API users.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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