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icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie

icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie

Polymarket

$23,148 Vol.

Polymarket

$23,148 Vol.

icon for Mark Warner (D)

Mark Warner (D)

$15,894 Vol.

96%

icon for Bert Mizusawa (R)

Bert Mizusawa (R)

$7,254 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Virginia's recent voting patterns and Warner's substantial fundraising edge of roughly $16 million in cash on hand compared with Mizusawa's under $60,000. Limited polling from spring and early summer showed Warner ahead by 18-20 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and baseline state partisanship. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or significant candidate health event could still alter the trajectory before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$23,148
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Virginia's recent voting patterns and Warner's substantial fundraising edge of roughly $16 million in cash on hand compared with Mizusawa's under $60,000. Limited polling from spring and early summer showed Warner ahead by 18-20 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and baseline state partisanship. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or significant candidate health event could still alter the trajectory before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$23,148
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Les Républicains vont-ils remporter l'élection sénatoriale de Virginie-Occidentale en 2026 ?

Les Républicains vont-ils remporter l'élection sénatoriale de Virginie-Occidentale en 2026 ?

97%
Oui
icon for Les Républicains vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale du Kentucky en 2026 ?

Les Républicains vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale du Kentucky en 2026 ?

96%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale de Caroline du Nord en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale de Caroline du Nord en 2026 ?

92%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mark Warner (D) » à 96%, suivi de « Bert Mizusawa (R) » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 96¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie » a généré $23.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie » est « Mark Warner (D) » à 96%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bert Mizusawa (R) » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de Virginie » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.