August Pfluger holds a commanding lead in the TX-11 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As incumbent since 2021, Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary while raising over $3 million, compared to Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds’ under $90,000 after her primary win. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for Pfluger. Limited recent developments or polling shifts have altered this positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or major national realignment favoring Democrats could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such factors have not materialized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-11 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-11 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$32,191 Vol.
$32,191 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
August Pfluger (R)
94%
Claire Reynolds (D)
6%
$32,191 Vol.
$32,191 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
August Pfluger (R)
$8,893 Vol.
94%
Claire Reynolds (D)
$23,298 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).August Pfluger holds a commanding lead in the TX-11 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As incumbent since 2021, Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary while raising over $3 million, compared to Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds’ under $90,000 after her primary win. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for Pfluger. Limited recent developments or polling shifts have altered this positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or major national realignment favoring Democrats could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such factors have not materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$32,191Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).August Pfluger holds a commanding lead in the TX-11 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As incumbent since 2021, Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary while raising over $3 million, compared to Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds’ under $90,000 after her primary win. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for Pfluger. Limited recent developments or polling shifts have altered this positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or major national realignment favoring Democrats could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such factors have not materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,191Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...August Pfluger holds a commanding lead in the TX-11 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As incumbent since 2021, Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary while raising over $3 million, compared to Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds’ under $90,000 after her primary win. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for Pfluger. Limited recent developments or polling shifts have altered this positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or major national realignment favoring Democrats could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such factors have not materialized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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