Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters, including the Cook Political Report. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, consistent fundraising, and voter support in Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn areas. Michael DeCillis, the Democratic nominee after winning his June primary, brings a background as a former NYPD officer and 9/11 responder but faces structural challenges in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these district fundamentals. Late developments such as a national political shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-11
$26,166 Vol.
$26,166 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
94%
Michael DeCillis (D)
7%
$26,166 Vol.
$26,166 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
$12,873 Vol.
94%
Michael DeCillis (D)
$13,293 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters, including the Cook Political Report. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, consistent fundraising, and voter support in Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn areas. Michael DeCillis, the Democratic nominee after winning his June primary, brings a background as a former NYPD officer and 9/11 responder but faces structural challenges in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these district fundamentals. Late developments such as a national political shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$26,166Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters, including the Cook Political Report. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, consistent fundraising, and voter support in Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn areas. Michael DeCillis, the Democratic nominee after winning his June primary, brings a background as a former NYPD officer and 9/11 responder but faces structural challenges in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these district fundamentals. Late developments such as a national political shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,166Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters, including the Cook Political Report. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, consistent fundraising, and voter support in Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn areas. Michael DeCillis, the Democratic nominee after winning his June primary, brings a background as a former NYPD officer and 9/11 responder but faces structural challenges in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these district fundamentals. Late developments such as a national political shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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