The closely matched 50% implied probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders signal high uncertainty in the Code Arena WebDev rankings heading into late November, driven by rapid iteration among AI labs on coding benchmarks and full-stack generation tasks. Chinese developers like Alibaba and Moonshot hold the strongest specific odds thanks to demonstrated strengths in efficient large language models for frontend-backend integration and tool use, outpacing earlier leaders in recent capability tests. Western labs such as OpenAI and Anthropic trail amid focus on safety alignments and broader multimodal work, while factors like API stability, open-weight releases, and developer ecosystem adoption could shift outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlibaba 29%
Moonshot 27%
SpaceXAI 13%
Meta 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
Alibaba
29%
Moonshot
27%
SpaceXAI
13%
Meta
11%
Z.ai
8%
Poolside
9%
Anthropic
9%
OpenAI
6%
Mistral
5%
4%
Thinky
4%
Tencent
4%
DeepSeek
4%
Xiaomi
4%
ByteDance
3%
MiniMax
3%
Alibaba 29%
Moonshot 27%
SpaceXAI 13%
Meta 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
Alibaba
$358 Vol.
29%
Moonshot
$394 Vol.
27%
SpaceXAI
$88 Vol.
13%
Meta
$133 Vol.
11%
Z.ai
$235 Vol.
8%
Poolside
$178 Vol.
9%
Anthropic
$88 Vol.
9%
OpenAI
$200 Vol.
6%
Mistral
$416 Vol.
5%
$100 Vol.
4%
Thinky
$108 Vol.
4%
Tencent
$78 Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
$300 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$88 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$88 Vol.
3%
MiniMax
$83 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched 50% implied probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders signal high uncertainty in the Code Arena WebDev rankings heading into late November, driven by rapid iteration among AI labs on coding benchmarks and full-stack generation tasks. Chinese developers like Alibaba and Moonshot hold the strongest specific odds thanks to demonstrated strengths in efficient large language models for frontend-backend integration and tool use, outpacing earlier leaders in recent capability tests. Western labs such as OpenAI and Anthropic trail amid focus on safety alignments and broader multimodal work, while factors like API stability, open-weight releases, and developer ecosystem adoption could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volume
$2,932Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched 50% implied probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders signal high uncertainty in the Code Arena WebDev rankings heading into late November, driven by rapid iteration among AI labs on coding benchmarks and full-stack generation tasks. Chinese developers like Alibaba and Moonshot hold the strongest specific odds thanks to demonstrated strengths in efficient large language models for frontend-backend integration and tool use, outpacing earlier leaders in recent capability tests. Western labs such as OpenAI and Anthropic trail amid focus on safety alignments and broader multimodal work, while factors like API stability, open-weight releases, and developer ecosystem adoption could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,932Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched 50% implied probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders signal high uncertainty in the Code Arena WebDev rankings heading into late November, driven by rapid iteration among AI labs on coding benchmarks and full-stack generation tasks. Chinese developers like Alibaba and Moonshot hold the strongest specific odds thanks to demonstrated strengths in efficient large language models for frontend-backend integration and tool use, outpacing earlier leaders in recent capability tests. Western labs such as OpenAI and Anthropic trail amid focus on safety alignments and broader multimodal work, while factors like API stability, open-weight releases, and developer ecosystem adoption could shift outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Anthropic sera-t-elle le deuxième meilleur laboratoire d'IA Code Arena | WebDev à la fin novembre 2026 ?
50%
Oui
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?
39%
Anthropic sera-t-il le deuxième meilleur laboratoire Code Arena | WebDev IA à la fin octobre 2026 ?
61%
Oui
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