Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in the 2024 presidential contest. Hagerty, seeking a second term after defeating Marquita Bradshaw by 27 points in 2020, remains unopposed in his primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash reserves. Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination in August but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have not won a statewide race since 2006. Recent polling shows Hagerty ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as a significant scandal or health event could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Tennessee
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Tennessee
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 Vol.
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in the 2024 presidential contest. Hagerty, seeking a second term after defeating Marquita Bradshaw by 27 points in 2020, remains unopposed in his primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash reserves. Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination in August but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have not won a statewide race since 2006. Recent polling shows Hagerty ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as a significant scandal or health event could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$29,907Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in the 2024 presidential contest. Hagerty, seeking a second term after defeating Marquita Bradshaw by 27 points in 2020, remains unopposed in his primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash reserves. Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination in August but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have not won a statewide race since 2006. Recent polling shows Hagerty ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as a significant scandal or health event could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$29,907Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in the 2024 presidential contest. Hagerty, seeking a second term after defeating Marquita Bradshaw by 27 points in 2020, remains unopposed in his primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash reserves. Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination in August but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have not won a statewide race since 2006. Recent polling shows Hagerty ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as a significant scandal or health event could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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