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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu

Chen Chen-chung 77%

Wu Shu-chin 15%

Yeh Chu-lin 3.8%

Chou Ni-an <1%

Polymarket

$10,458 Vol.

Chen Chen-chung 77%

Wu Shu-chin 15%

Yeh Chu-lin 3.8%

Chou Ni-an <1%

Polymarket

$10,458 Vol.

icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$3,186 Vol.

77%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$4,939 Vol.

15%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$428 Vol.

4%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$536 Vol.

1%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$385 Vol.

1%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$985 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Hu-hsi Township head, holds the strongest position in the Penghu County Magistrate race ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. The KMT consolidated its base behind a single candidate early, while the Democratic Progressive Party shifted to Wu Shu-chin after incumbent Chen Kuang-fu suffered a severe head injury in February 2026 that left him unable to campaign. This substitution and the presence of multiple independents—including former Magong mayor Yeh Chu-lin, Taiwan Solidarity Union chair Chou Ni-an, and former deputy magistrate Hsu Chih-fu—have fragmented opposition support in a county that has historically favored pan-blue candidates except when the pan-blue vote splits. Recent campaign headquarters launches and July-August polling showing Chen ahead have reinforced trader assessments of his lead.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,458
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Hu-hsi Township head, holds the strongest position in the Penghu County Magistrate race ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. The KMT consolidated its base behind a single candidate early, while the Democratic Progressive Party shifted to Wu Shu-chin after incumbent Chen Kuang-fu suffered a severe head injury in February 2026 that left him unable to campaign. This substitution and the presence of multiple independents—including former Magong mayor Yeh Chu-lin, Taiwan Solidarity Union chair Chou Ni-an, and former deputy magistrate Hsu Chih-fu—have fragmented opposition support in a county that has historically favored pan-blue candidates except when the pan-blue vote splits. Recent campaign headquarters launches and July-August polling showing Chen ahead have reinforced trader assessments of his lead.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,458
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Chou Chun-mi remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Pingtung ?

Chou Chun-mi remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Pingtung ?

88%
Oui
icon for Cheng Chao-fang remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu ?

Cheng Chao-fang remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu ?

58%
Oui
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung ?

Wu Hsiu-hua va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung ?

87%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chen Chen-chung » à 77%, suivi de « Wu Shu-chin » à 15%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 77¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu » a généré $10.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu » est « Chen Chen-chung » à 77%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Wu Shu-chin » à 15%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Penghu » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.