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icon for Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu
Politique·Taïwan

Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu

icon for Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu
Politique·Taïwan

Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu

Cheng Chao-fang 59%

Hsu Hsin-ying 40%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$14,108 Vol.

Cheng Chao-fang 59%

Hsu Hsin-ying 40%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$14,108 Vol.

icon for Cheng Chao-fang

Cheng Chao-fang

$6,969 Vol.

59%

icon for Hsu Hsin-ying

Hsu Hsin-ying

$5,378 Vol.

40%

icon for Lin Szu-ming

Lin Szu-ming

$1,004 Vol.

1%

icon for Chen Chien-hsien

Chen Chien-hsien

$757 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads trader pricing in the Hsinchu County magistrate race as the DPP nominee, benefiting from his June 2026 selection backed by President Lai Ching-te and recent favorability surveys showing stronger public approval than rivals. Hsu Hsin-ying, the KMT nominee after her March primary win over Chen Chien-hsien via mixed polling and member voting, trails amid the September collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination on the related Zhubei mayoral contest, which fragments pan-blue support. Other registered candidates including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien register negligible shares, confirming the contest as effectively two-way ahead of the November 28 vote. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these nomination timelines, geographic bases, and coalition dynamics rather than any single poll.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$14,108
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads trader pricing in the Hsinchu County magistrate race as the DPP nominee, benefiting from his June 2026 selection backed by President Lai Ching-te and recent favorability surveys showing stronger public approval than rivals. Hsu Hsin-ying, the KMT nominee after her March primary win over Chen Chien-hsien via mixed polling and member voting, trails amid the September collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination on the related Zhubei mayoral contest, which fragments pan-blue support. Other registered candidates including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien register negligible shares, confirming the contest as effectively two-way ahead of the November 28 vote. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these nomination timelines, geographic bases, and coalition dynamics rather than any single poll.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$14,108
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Cheng Chao-fang » à 59%, suivi de « Hsu Hsin-ying » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 59¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu » a généré $14.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu » est « Cheng Chao-fang » à 59%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Hsu Hsin-ying » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Hsinchu » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.