Incumbent Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as the sitting governor, and the absence of primary opposition after potential challengers withdrew. Aggregate polling shows her ahead by roughly 10-11 points, reflecting broad support in New York City that offsets narrower deficits in suburbs and upstate areas. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, has gained some ground through criticism of state policies on crime and taxes, with one recent internal poll narrowing the margin, yet independent surveys and historical patterns favor the Democratic incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as major economic shifts, turnout surges outside urban centers, or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de New York
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de New York
$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
6%
$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
$49,697 Vol.
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
$62,575 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as the sitting governor, and the absence of primary opposition after potential challengers withdrew. Aggregate polling shows her ahead by roughly 10-11 points, reflecting broad support in New York City that offsets narrower deficits in suburbs and upstate areas. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, has gained some ground through criticism of state policies on crime and taxes, with one recent internal poll narrowing the margin, yet independent surveys and historical patterns favor the Democratic incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as major economic shifts, turnout surges outside urban centers, or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$112,273Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as the sitting governor, and the absence of primary opposition after potential challengers withdrew. Aggregate polling shows her ahead by roughly 10-11 points, reflecting broad support in New York City that offsets narrower deficits in suburbs and upstate areas. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, has gained some ground through criticism of state policies on crime and taxes, with one recent internal poll narrowing the margin, yet independent surveys and historical patterns favor the Democratic incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as major economic shifts, turnout surges outside urban centers, or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$112,273Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as the sitting governor, and the absence of primary opposition after potential challengers withdrew. Aggregate polling shows her ahead by roughly 10-11 points, reflecting broad support in New York City that offsets narrower deficits in suburbs and upstate areas. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, has gained some ground through criticism of state policies on crime and taxes, with one recent internal poll narrowing the margin, yet independent surveys and historical patterns favor the Democratic incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as major economic shifts, turnout surges outside urban centers, or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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