Valerie Foushee holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race because the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbency advantages, combined with the district’s concentration of Democratic voters in Durham and Orange counties, have produced broad trader consensus that the general election outcome is unlikely to shift. Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, yet the underlying partisan composition leaves limited room for a competitive challenge. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current probability distribution before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNC-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NC-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
95%
Max Ganorkar (R)
3%
$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
$14,801 Vol.
95%
Max Ganorkar (R)
$30,929 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race because the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbency advantages, combined with the district’s concentration of Democratic voters in Durham and Orange counties, have produced broad trader consensus that the general election outcome is unlikely to shift. Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, yet the underlying partisan composition leaves limited room for a competitive challenge. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current probability distribution before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$45,730Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race because the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbency advantages, combined with the district’s concentration of Democratic voters in Durham and Orange counties, have produced broad trader consensus that the general election outcome is unlikely to shift. Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, yet the underlying partisan composition leaves limited room for a competitive challenge. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current probability distribution before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,730Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race because the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbency advantages, combined with the district’s concentration of Democratic voters in Durham and Orange counties, have produced broad trader consensus that the general election outcome is unlikely to shift. Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, yet the underlying partisan composition leaves limited room for a competitive challenge. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current probability distribution before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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