Republican Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in Montana’s open Senate race due to the state’s consistent Republican tilt and a fragmented opposition. After incumbent Steve Daines withdrew just before the filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the GOP nomination with over 76 percent in the June primary and received Trump’s backing, the Republican side consolidated quickly. On the other side, Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead has remained in the race despite pressure from party figures including Jon Tester to clear the path for independent Seth Bodnar, whose support among Democrats and independents has not overcome the split. Multiple post-primary polls show Alme ahead by double digits or high single digits, producing the current trader consensus. A late withdrawal by Bankhead or sharp shift in independent turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee through November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Montana
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Montana
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Indépendant 9.7%
Alani Bankhead (D) <1%
$131,978 Vol.
$131,978 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
91%
Indépendant
10%
Alani Bankhead (D)
1%
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Indépendant 9.7%
Alani Bankhead (D) <1%
$131,978 Vol.
$131,978 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
$68,436 Vol.
91%
Indépendant
$22,239 Vol.
10%
Alani Bankhead (D)
$41,303 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in Montana’s open Senate race due to the state’s consistent Republican tilt and a fragmented opposition. After incumbent Steve Daines withdrew just before the filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the GOP nomination with over 76 percent in the June primary and received Trump’s backing, the Republican side consolidated quickly. On the other side, Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead has remained in the race despite pressure from party figures including Jon Tester to clear the path for independent Seth Bodnar, whose support among Democrats and independents has not overcome the split. Multiple post-primary polls show Alme ahead by double digits or high single digits, producing the current trader consensus. A late withdrawal by Bankhead or sharp shift in independent turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee through November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$131,978Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in Montana’s open Senate race due to the state’s consistent Republican tilt and a fragmented opposition. After incumbent Steve Daines withdrew just before the filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the GOP nomination with over 76 percent in the June primary and received Trump’s backing, the Republican side consolidated quickly. On the other side, Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead has remained in the race despite pressure from party figures including Jon Tester to clear the path for independent Seth Bodnar, whose support among Democrats and independents has not overcome the split. Multiple post-primary polls show Alme ahead by double digits or high single digits, producing the current trader consensus. A late withdrawal by Bankhead or sharp shift in independent turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee through November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$131,978Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2f5e3684c...Republican Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in Montana’s open Senate race due to the state’s consistent Republican tilt and a fragmented opposition. After incumbent Steve Daines withdrew just before the filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the GOP nomination with over 76 percent in the June primary and received Trump’s backing, the Republican side consolidated quickly. On the other side, Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead has remained in the race despite pressure from party figures including Jon Tester to clear the path for independent Seth Bodnar, whose support among Democrats and independents has not overcome the split. Multiple post-primary polls show Alme ahead by double digits or high single digits, producing the current trader consensus. A late withdrawal by Bankhead or sharp shift in independent turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee through November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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