Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for the open Wyoming Senate seat after winning her party's August 18 primary with 64.9% of the vote, positioning her as the clear favorite against Democratic nominee James Byrd in the November 3 general election. Wyoming's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 96.4% probability for Hageman. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no general election polls yet available to suggest otherwise. Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary decisively but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates have historically struggled to exceed 35% statewide. Recent campaign developments, including Hageman's decision not to participate in a scheduled PBS debate, have drawn criticism from Byrd but have not altered the race's fundamentals. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited and would likely require major unforeseen events within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Wyoming
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Wyoming
$16,862 Vol.
$16,862 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,862 Vol.
$16,862 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,207 Vol.
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for the open Wyoming Senate seat after winning her party's August 18 primary with 64.9% of the vote, positioning her as the clear favorite against Democratic nominee James Byrd in the November 3 general election. Wyoming's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 96.4% probability for Hageman. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no general election polls yet available to suggest otherwise. Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary decisively but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates have historically struggled to exceed 35% statewide. Recent campaign developments, including Hageman's decision not to participate in a scheduled PBS debate, have drawn criticism from Byrd but have not altered the race's fundamentals. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited and would likely require major unforeseen events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,862Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for the open Wyoming Senate seat after winning her party's August 18 primary with 64.9% of the vote, positioning her as the clear favorite against Democratic nominee James Byrd in the November 3 general election. Wyoming's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 96.4% probability for Hageman. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no general election polls yet available to suggest otherwise. Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary decisively but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates have historically struggled to exceed 35% statewide. Recent campaign developments, including Hageman's decision not to participate in a scheduled PBS debate, have drawn criticism from Byrd but have not altered the race's fundamentals. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited and would likely require major unforeseen events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,862Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for the open Wyoming Senate seat after winning her party's August 18 primary with 64.9% of the vote, positioning her as the clear favorite against Democratic nominee James Byrd in the November 3 general election. Wyoming's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 96.4% probability for Hageman. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no general election polls yet available to suggest otherwise. Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary decisively but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates have historically struggled to exceed 35% statewide. Recent campaign developments, including Hageman's decision not to participate in a scheduled PBS debate, have drawn criticism from Byrd but have not altered the race's fundamentals. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited and would likely require major unforeseen events within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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