Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by large margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, combined with his long tenure since 2009 and strong primary performance securing the nomination with over 67% of the vote. Recent developments include the withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth after limited fundraising and party hesitation, leaving independent Todd Achilles—who resigned his state House seat to run—as the main challenger amid mixed polling that still shows Risch ahead by 25 points or more on average. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including Risch's fundraising edge and broad name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high independent turnout, though structural barriers in this solidly Republican electorate limit realistic upset prospects ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJim Risch (R) 96.0%
Démocrate 2.4%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,084 Vol.
$33,084 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jim Risch (R)
96%
Démocrate
2%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Jim Risch (R) 96.0%
Démocrate 2.4%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,084 Vol.
$33,084 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jim Risch (R)
$18,512 Vol.
96%
Démocrate
$14,397 Vol.
2%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by large margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, combined with his long tenure since 2009 and strong primary performance securing the nomination with over 67% of the vote. Recent developments include the withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth after limited fundraising and party hesitation, leaving independent Todd Achilles—who resigned his state House seat to run—as the main challenger amid mixed polling that still shows Risch ahead by 25 points or more on average. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including Risch's fundraising edge and broad name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high independent turnout, though structural barriers in this solidly Republican electorate limit realistic upset prospects ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$33,084Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by large margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, combined with his long tenure since 2009 and strong primary performance securing the nomination with over 67% of the vote. Recent developments include the withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth after limited fundraising and party hesitation, leaving independent Todd Achilles—who resigned his state House seat to run—as the main challenger amid mixed polling that still shows Risch ahead by 25 points or more on average. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including Risch's fundraising edge and broad name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high independent turnout, though structural barriers in this solidly Republican electorate limit realistic upset prospects ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$33,084Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by large margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, combined with his long tenure since 2009 and strong primary performance securing the nomination with over 67% of the vote. Recent developments include the withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth after limited fundraising and party hesitation, leaving independent Todd Achilles—who resigned his state House seat to run—as the main challenger amid mixed polling that still shows Risch ahead by 25 points or more on average. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including Risch's fundraising edge and broad name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high independent turnout, though structural barriers in this solidly Republican electorate limit realistic upset prospects ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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