Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the MN-03 House race as the Democratic incumbent who captured 58.4% in 2024, benefiting from the district’s D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. She advanced unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in his primary with 55.4% of the vote. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited GOP success in the suburban Twin Cities district since 2016 and the absence of major polling shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,966 Vol.
$21,966 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
6%
$21,966 Vol.
$21,966 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
$12,428 Vol.
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
$9,538 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the MN-03 House race as the Democratic incumbent who captured 58.4% in 2024, benefiting from the district’s D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. She advanced unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in his primary with 55.4% of the vote. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited GOP success in the suburban Twin Cities district since 2016 and the absence of major polling shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,966Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the MN-03 House race as the Democratic incumbent who captured 58.4% in 2024, benefiting from the district’s D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. She advanced unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in his primary with 55.4% of the vote. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited GOP success in the suburban Twin Cities district since 2016 and the absence of major polling shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,966Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the MN-03 House race as the Democratic incumbent who captured 58.4% in 2024, benefiting from the district’s D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. She advanced unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in his primary with 55.4% of the vote. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited GOP success in the suburban Twin Cities district since 2016 and the absence of major polling shifts or national headwinds. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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