Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district ranks among the most Democratic-leaning seats nationwide, with consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles and nonpartisan forecasters rating the 2026 general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Jim McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary and faces no Republican nominee on the November 3 ballot, reflecting the seat's structural advantages, his long tenure since 1997, and fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for McGovern aligns with this absence of viable opposition and the district's demographic profile centered on Worcester and surrounding areas. Even with such high implied probability, late developments such as an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or sudden independent candidacy could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$72,799 Vol.
$72,799 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$72,799 Vol.
$72,799 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$37,571 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district ranks among the most Democratic-leaning seats nationwide, with consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles and nonpartisan forecasters rating the 2026 general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Jim McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary and faces no Republican nominee on the November 3 ballot, reflecting the seat's structural advantages, his long tenure since 1997, and fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for McGovern aligns with this absence of viable opposition and the district's demographic profile centered on Worcester and surrounding areas. Even with such high implied probability, late developments such as an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or sudden independent candidacy could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$72,799Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district ranks among the most Democratic-leaning seats nationwide, with consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles and nonpartisan forecasters rating the 2026 general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Jim McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary and faces no Republican nominee on the November 3 ballot, reflecting the seat's structural advantages, his long tenure since 1997, and fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for McGovern aligns with this absence of viable opposition and the district's demographic profile centered on Worcester and surrounding areas. Even with such high implied probability, late developments such as an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or sudden independent candidacy could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$72,799Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district ranks among the most Democratic-leaning seats nationwide, with consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles and nonpartisan forecasters rating the 2026 general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Jim McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary and faces no Republican nominee on the November 3 ballot, reflecting the seat's structural advantages, his long tenure since 1997, and fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for McGovern aligns with this absence of viable opposition and the district's demographic profile centered on Worcester and surrounding areas. Even with such high implied probability, late developments such as an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or sudden independent candidacy could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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