Nicolás Maduro and his wife face a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses. Both have pleaded not guilty. In early September 2026, defense counsel filed motions seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, with prosecutors due to respond by October 2 and oral arguments scheduled for November 17. The extended pretrial schedule, combined with pending challenges to jurisdiction and the legality of Maduro’s apprehension, creates multiple avenues for case dismissal or outcomes short of convictions on every count before the market’s December 2027 resolution deadline. Traders view these procedural barriers as the dominant factor supporting the current “No” consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMaduro coupable de tous les chefs d'accusation ?
Maduro coupable de tous les chefs d'accusation ?
Oui
22% chance
$133,116 Vol.
$133,116 Vol.
30 déc. 2027
Oui
22% chance
$133,116 Vol.
$133,116 Vol.
30 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro and his wife face a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses. Both have pleaded not guilty. In early September 2026, defense counsel filed motions seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, with prosecutors due to respond by October 2 and oral arguments scheduled for November 17. The extended pretrial schedule, combined with pending challenges to jurisdiction and the legality of Maduro’s apprehension, creates multiple avenues for case dismissal or outcomes short of convictions on every count before the market’s December 2027 resolution deadline. Traders view these procedural barriers as the dominant factor supporting the current “No” consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$133,116Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro and his wife face a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses. Both have pleaded not guilty. In early September 2026, defense counsel filed motions seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, with prosecutors due to respond by October 2 and oral arguments scheduled for November 17. The extended pretrial schedule, combined with pending challenges to jurisdiction and the legality of Maduro’s apprehension, creates multiple avenues for case dismissal or outcomes short of convictions on every count before the market’s December 2027 resolution deadline. Traders view these procedural barriers as the dominant factor supporting the current “No” consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,116Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro and his wife face a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses. Both have pleaded not guilty. In early September 2026, defense counsel filed motions seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, with prosecutors due to respond by October 2 and oral arguments scheduled for November 17. The extended pretrial schedule, combined with pending challenges to jurisdiction and the legality of Maduro’s apprehension, creates multiple avenues for case dismissal or outcomes short of convictions on every count before the market’s December 2027 resolution deadline. Traders view these procedural barriers as the dominant factor supporting the current “No” consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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