Incumbent Mike Quigley holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 that delivered him a 38-point margin in 2024. Both parties completed their primaries in March 2026, with Quigley securing roughly 65% against three Democratic challengers and Tommy Hanson prevailing on the Republican side. Quigley’s substantial fundraising lead and long tenure on the House Appropriations Committee reinforce the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. His simultaneous bid for Chicago mayor, launched in June 2026, introduces some uncertainty around campaign focus but has not shifted market odds. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected withdrawal remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-05
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
5%
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
$8,976 Vol.
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
$16,296 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Quigley holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 that delivered him a 38-point margin in 2024. Both parties completed their primaries in March 2026, with Quigley securing roughly 65% against three Democratic challengers and Tommy Hanson prevailing on the Republican side. Quigley’s substantial fundraising lead and long tenure on the House Appropriations Committee reinforce the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. His simultaneous bid for Chicago mayor, launched in June 2026, introduces some uncertainty around campaign focus but has not shifted market odds. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected withdrawal remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$25,272Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Quigley holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 that delivered him a 38-point margin in 2024. Both parties completed their primaries in March 2026, with Quigley securing roughly 65% against three Democratic challengers and Tommy Hanson prevailing on the Republican side. Quigley’s substantial fundraising lead and long tenure on the House Appropriations Committee reinforce the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. His simultaneous bid for Chicago mayor, launched in June 2026, introduces some uncertainty around campaign focus but has not shifted market odds. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected withdrawal remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,272Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mike Quigley holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 that delivered him a 38-point margin in 2024. Both parties completed their primaries in March 2026, with Quigley securing roughly 65% against three Democratic challengers and Tommy Hanson prevailing on the Republican side. Quigley’s substantial fundraising lead and long tenure on the House Appropriations Committee reinforce the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. His simultaneous bid for Chicago mayor, launched in June 2026, introduces some uncertainty around campaign focus but has not shifted market odds. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected withdrawal remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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