Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his comfortable primary victory with 59 percent of the vote, and strong historical margins for GOP candidates in statewide contests. Recent polling averages show Little ahead by roughly 20 points, reflecting Idaho's partisan fundamentals and the limited impact of Democratic nominee Terri Pickens's campaign on issues such as education and economic policy. Trader consensus aligns with forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among independent voters in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$23,497 Vol.
$23,497 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Brad Little (R)
98%
Terri Pickens (D)
3%
$23,497 Vol.
$23,497 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Brad Little (R)
$19,837 Vol.
98%
Terri Pickens (D)
$3,660 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his comfortable primary victory with 59 percent of the vote, and strong historical margins for GOP candidates in statewide contests. Recent polling averages show Little ahead by roughly 20 points, reflecting Idaho's partisan fundamentals and the limited impact of Democratic nominee Terri Pickens's campaign on issues such as education and economic policy. Trader consensus aligns with forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among independent voters in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$23,497Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his comfortable primary victory with 59 percent of the vote, and strong historical margins for GOP candidates in statewide contests. Recent polling averages show Little ahead by roughly 20 points, reflecting Idaho's partisan fundamentals and the limited impact of Democratic nominee Terri Pickens's campaign on issues such as education and economic policy. Trader consensus aligns with forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among independent voters in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$23,497Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his comfortable primary victory with 59 percent of the vote, and strong historical margins for GOP candidates in statewide contests. Recent polling averages show Little ahead by roughly 20 points, reflecting Idaho's partisan fundamentals and the limited impact of Democratic nominee Terri Pickens's campaign on issues such as education and economic policy. Trader consensus aligns with forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among independent voters in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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