Tina Kotek’s position as Democratic incumbent seeking a second term underpins trader consensus for her victory in the November 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. She secured her party’s nomination overwhelmingly in the May primary, while Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, won her rematch bid after a competitive GOP primary. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Democrat following its July shift from Solid D, citing Oregon’s partisan lean and Kotek’s structural advantages despite her low approval ratings around 38 percent and voter concerns over housing, education, and homelessness. A June Republican poll showed Drazan statistically tied or slightly ahead, yet broader models project Kotek prevailing by mid-single digits, consistent with the current market pricing. The race is expected to intensify this fall with increased spending and messaging on economic performance and state direction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$42,107 Vol.
$42,107 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tina Kotek (D)
87%
Christine Drazan (R)
14%
$42,107 Vol.
$42,107 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tina Kotek (D)
$23,423 Vol.
87%
Christine Drazan (R)
$18,684 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Kotek’s position as Democratic incumbent seeking a second term underpins trader consensus for her victory in the November 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. She secured her party’s nomination overwhelmingly in the May primary, while Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, won her rematch bid after a competitive GOP primary. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Democrat following its July shift from Solid D, citing Oregon’s partisan lean and Kotek’s structural advantages despite her low approval ratings around 38 percent and voter concerns over housing, education, and homelessness. A June Republican poll showed Drazan statistically tied or slightly ahead, yet broader models project Kotek prevailing by mid-single digits, consistent with the current market pricing. The race is expected to intensify this fall with increased spending and messaging on economic performance and state direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$42,107Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Kotek’s position as Democratic incumbent seeking a second term underpins trader consensus for her victory in the November 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. She secured her party’s nomination overwhelmingly in the May primary, while Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, won her rematch bid after a competitive GOP primary. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Democrat following its July shift from Solid D, citing Oregon’s partisan lean and Kotek’s structural advantages despite her low approval ratings around 38 percent and voter concerns over housing, education, and homelessness. A June Republican poll showed Drazan statistically tied or slightly ahead, yet broader models project Kotek prevailing by mid-single digits, consistent with the current market pricing. The race is expected to intensify this fall with increased spending and messaging on economic performance and state direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$42,107Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Tina Kotek’s position as Democratic incumbent seeking a second term underpins trader consensus for her victory in the November 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. She secured her party’s nomination overwhelmingly in the May primary, while Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, won her rematch bid after a competitive GOP primary. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Democrat following its July shift from Solid D, citing Oregon’s partisan lean and Kotek’s structural advantages despite her low approval ratings around 38 percent and voter concerns over housing, education, and homelessness. A June Republican poll showed Drazan statistically tied or slightly ahead, yet broader models project Kotek prevailing by mid-single digits, consistent with the current market pricing. The race is expected to intensify this fall with increased spending and messaging on economic performance and state direction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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