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icon for Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?
Politique·Russie

Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?

icon for Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?
Politique·Russie

Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?

<35 96.2%

35–44 2.3%

85+ 2.1%

65–74 <1%

Polymarket

$129,046 Vol.

<35 96.2%

35–44 2.3%

85+ 2.1%

65–74 <1%

Polymarket

$129,046 Vol.

<35

$33,581 Vol.

96%

35–44

$27,689 Vol.

2%

45–54

$17,435 Vol.

1%

55–64

$14,040 Vol.

1%

65–74

$13,552 Vol.

1%

75–84

$9,273 Vol.

<1%

85+

$13,475 Vol.

2%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, operating as a pro-business systemic opposition party within Russia's managed multi-party system, faces structural constraints from United Russia's dominance and limited single-mandate opportunities. Recent partial results from the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma election show the party securing roughly 8% of the proportional vote after clearing the 5% threshold, consistent with pre-election polling ranges of 7-13% across state and independent surveys and building modestly on its 2021 performance. This vote share, combined with the party's candidate slate and regional dynamics, points to a faction size well below the upper ranges in the market. A substantially larger seat total would require markedly stronger single-mandate results or a final proportional share exceeding observed tallies.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$129,046
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, operating as a pro-business systemic opposition party within Russia's managed multi-party system, faces structural constraints from United Russia's dominance and limited single-mandate opportunities. Recent partial results from the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma election show the party securing roughly 8% of the proportional vote after clearing the 5% threshold, consistent with pre-election polling ranges of 7-13% across state and independent surveys and building modestly on its 2021 performance. This vote share, combined with the party's candidate slate and regional dynamics, points to a faction size well below the upper ranges in the market. A substantially larger seat total would require markedly stronger single-mandate results or a final proportional share exceeding observed tallies.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$129,046
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Russie unie remportera-t-elle entre 340 et 354 sièges lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

Russie unie remportera-t-elle entre 340 et 354 sièges lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

90%
Oui
icon for Le Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) remportera-t-il moins de 45 sièges lors de la prochaine élection de la Douma d'État russe ?

Le Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) remportera-t-il moins de 45 sièges lors de la prochaine élection de la Douma d'État russe ?

96%
Oui
icon for Le parti Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP) remportera-t-il au moins un siège lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

Le parti Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP) remportera-t-il au moins un siège lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

99%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <35 » à 96%, suivi de « 35–44 » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 96¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » a généré $129K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » est « <35 » à 96%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 35–44 » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.