The December 6, 2026, legislative election in Guinea-Bissau occurs under a military transitional government following the 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August referendum reshaping rules by shrinking the assembly to 65 seats and consolidating constituencies. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds a modest lead amid uncertainty over alliances, candidate eligibility tied to residency requirements, and the junta’s recent enforcement of party office relocation rules near state institutions. The close spread among leading groups stems from the banned publication of polls, lingering effects of the prior annulled vote, and competing claims on legitimacy in a system shifting toward stronger presidential authority. Potential separators include formal coalition announcements, ECOWAS engagement on the transition timeline, or further administrative measures affecting campaign operations before voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau
Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau
Platforma Reupblicana « Nô Kumpu Guiné » 30.9%
FREPASNA 20.3%
PT 10.8%
FLING 4.2%
$159,968 Vol.
$159,968 Vol.
22 nov. 2025
Platforma Reupblicana « Nô Kumpu Guiné »
31%
FREPASNA
20%
PT
11%
FLING
4%
PS
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
Platforma Reupblicana « Nô Kumpu Guiné » 30.9%
FREPASNA 20.3%
PT 10.8%
FLING 4.2%
$159,968 Vol.
$159,968 Vol.
22 nov. 2025
Platforma Reupblicana « Nô Kumpu Guiné »
$48,823 Vol.
31%
FREPASNA
$26,786 Vol.
20%
PT
$22,046 Vol.
11%
FLING
$13,132 Vol.
4%
PS
$26,296 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The December 6, 2026, legislative election in Guinea-Bissau occurs under a military transitional government following the 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August referendum reshaping rules by shrinking the assembly to 65 seats and consolidating constituencies. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds a modest lead amid uncertainty over alliances, candidate eligibility tied to residency requirements, and the junta’s recent enforcement of party office relocation rules near state institutions. The close spread among leading groups stems from the banned publication of polls, lingering effects of the prior annulled vote, and competing claims on legitimacy in a system shifting toward stronger presidential authority. Potential separators include formal coalition announcements, ECOWAS engagement on the transition timeline, or further administrative measures affecting campaign operations before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Marché ouvert : Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$159,968Date de fin
23 nov. 2025Marché ouvert
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The December 6, 2026, legislative election in Guinea-Bissau occurs under a military transitional government following the 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August referendum reshaping rules by shrinking the assembly to 65 seats and consolidating constituencies. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds a modest lead amid uncertainty over alliances, candidate eligibility tied to residency requirements, and the junta’s recent enforcement of party office relocation rules near state institutions. The close spread among leading groups stems from the banned publication of polls, lingering effects of the prior annulled vote, and competing claims on legitimacy in a system shifting toward stronger presidential authority. Potential separators include formal coalition announcements, ECOWAS engagement on the transition timeline, or further administrative measures affecting campaign operations before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$159,968Date de fin
23 nov. 2025Marché ouvert
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The December 6, 2026, legislative election in Guinea-Bissau occurs under a military transitional government following the 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August referendum reshaping rules by shrinking the assembly to 65 seats and consolidating constituencies. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds a modest lead amid uncertainty over alliances, candidate eligibility tied to residency requirements, and the junta’s recent enforcement of party office relocation rules near state institutions. The close spread among leading groups stems from the banned publication of polls, lingering effects of the prior annulled vote, and competing claims on legitimacy in a system shifting toward stronger presidential authority. Potential separators include formal coalition announcements, ECOWAS engagement on the transition timeline, or further administrative measures affecting campaign operations before voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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