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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1
Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1
Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 23.0%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 21%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 13%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu 3.1%

Polymarket

$20,815 Vol.

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 23.0%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 21%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 13%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu 3.1%

Polymarket

$20,815 Vol.

icon for Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$5,242 Vol.

26%

icon for Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$5,637 Vol.

21%

icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$7,293 Vol.

13%

icon for Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$351 Vol.

3%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$578 Vol.

8%

icon for Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

$502 Vol.

1%

icon for Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$1,212 Vol.

<1%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 constituency on 18 September follows the Court of Appeal’s June 29 ruling that voided former Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 win over bribery findings, creating an open seat in a district previously held by the FAST party. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field, with FAST fielding multiple nominees—including Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale—while HRPP backs Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko returns as a prominent independent or party-aligned contender. The tight positioning stems from vote splitting among FAST candidates, Tuiloma’s prior narrow loss and petition role, and limited recent polling or campaign shifts since nominations closed in early September. Pre-polling on 16 September and final voter turnout patterns could quickly reorder probabilities among the leading options.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$20,815
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 constituency on 18 September follows the Court of Appeal’s June 29 ruling that voided former Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 win over bribery findings, creating an open seat in a district previously held by the FAST party. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field, with FAST fielding multiple nominees—including Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale—while HRPP backs Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko returns as a prominent independent or party-aligned contender. The tight positioning stems from vote splitting among FAST candidates, Tuiloma’s prior narrow loss and petition role, and limited recent polling or campaign shifts since nominations closed in early September. Pre-polling on 16 September and final voter turnout patterns could quickly reorder probabilities among the leading options.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$20,815
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 ?

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 ?

88%
Oui
icon for Fabio Roscioli gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection partielle de Reggio de Calabre ?

Fabio Roscioli gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection partielle de Reggio de Calabre ?

86%
Oui
icon for Reinaldo Azambuja remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

Reinaldo Azambuja remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

86%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale » à 26%, suivi de « Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » a généré $20.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » est « Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.