Brazil's Senate holds over 100 pending impeachment requests targeting STF justices, primarily Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master bank fraud scandal and related internal court disputes with André Mendonça. No STF justice has ever been removed through this process, which requires Senate President Davi Alcolumbre to advance a case, a prosecutor-general referral under recent procedural rulings, and a two-thirds supermajority of 54 votes for conviction. Lula-aligned senators currently block such majorities, while the October 2026 elections renew only one-third of Senate seats with limited time remaining before year-end. Trader consensus at 95.6% for no removal by 2027 reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent. Outcomes could shift if post-election Senate composition enables rapid action, new evidence forces the prosecutor-general's involvement, or procedural rule changes pass before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
4% chance
$91,769 Vol.
$91,769 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
4% chance
$91,769 Vol.
$91,769 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate holds over 100 pending impeachment requests targeting STF justices, primarily Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master bank fraud scandal and related internal court disputes with André Mendonça. No STF justice has ever been removed through this process, which requires Senate President Davi Alcolumbre to advance a case, a prosecutor-general referral under recent procedural rulings, and a two-thirds supermajority of 54 votes for conviction. Lula-aligned senators currently block such majorities, while the October 2026 elections renew only one-third of Senate seats with limited time remaining before year-end. Trader consensus at 95.6% for no removal by 2027 reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent. Outcomes could shift if post-election Senate composition enables rapid action, new evidence forces the prosecutor-general's involvement, or procedural rule changes pass before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$91,769Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate holds over 100 pending impeachment requests targeting STF justices, primarily Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master bank fraud scandal and related internal court disputes with André Mendonça. No STF justice has ever been removed through this process, which requires Senate President Davi Alcolumbre to advance a case, a prosecutor-general referral under recent procedural rulings, and a two-thirds supermajority of 54 votes for conviction. Lula-aligned senators currently block such majorities, while the October 2026 elections renew only one-third of Senate seats with limited time remaining before year-end. Trader consensus at 95.6% for no removal by 2027 reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent. Outcomes could shift if post-election Senate composition enables rapid action, new evidence forces the prosecutor-general's involvement, or procedural rule changes pass before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,769Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate holds over 100 pending impeachment requests targeting STF justices, primarily Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master bank fraud scandal and related internal court disputes with André Mendonça. No STF justice has ever been removed through this process, which requires Senate President Davi Alcolumbre to advance a case, a prosecutor-general referral under recent procedural rulings, and a two-thirds supermajority of 54 votes for conviction. Lula-aligned senators currently block such majorities, while the October 2026 elections renew only one-third of Senate seats with limited time remaining before year-end. Trader consensus at 95.6% for no removal by 2027 reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent. Outcomes could shift if post-election Senate composition enables rapid action, new evidence forces the prosecutor-general's involvement, or procedural rule changes pass before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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