Keith Faber secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May primary and holds an 88% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting Ohio’s Republican lean in statewide races and his experience as state auditor. John Kulewicz won the Democratic primary and trails at roughly 10.5%, consistent with historical margins for the office. Recent campaign activity, including Kulewicz’s initial television ad and debates over issues such as license-plate reader data access and the FirstEnergy HB 6 corruption case, has not shifted the contest. Fundraising and outside spending favor the Republican nominee, while the open seat created by Dave Yost’s resignation and interim appointment of Andy Wilson has not altered the partisan baseline. The race remains two-candidate with limited polling available this far from Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Keith Faber (R)
88%

John Kulewicz (D)
11%

Keith Faber (R)
88%

John Kulewicz (D)
11%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Keith Faber secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May primary and holds an 88% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting Ohio’s Republican lean in statewide races and his experience as state auditor. John Kulewicz won the Democratic primary and trails at roughly 10.5%, consistent with historical margins for the office. Recent campaign activity, including Kulewicz’s initial television ad and debates over issues such as license-plate reader data access and the FirstEnergy HB 6 corruption case, has not shifted the contest. Fundraising and outside spending favor the Republican nominee, while the open seat created by Dave Yost’s resignation and interim appointment of Andy Wilson has not altered the partisan baseline. The race remains two-candidate with limited polling available this far from Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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