House Republicans advanced the framework for a third reconciliation package in July 2026 by narrowly passing a budget resolution that directs committees to produce recommendations on defense funding tied to Iran operations, farm aid, and election integrity measures by mid-September. The actual bill has not yet cleared the House floor, however, as Senate Republicans prioritize completing appropriations and government funding measures first, while internal GOP divisions persist over spending levels, offsets, and procedural sequencing. With the House operating on a compressed September schedule ahead of the November midterms and a subsequent lame-duck period, the window for floor action remains narrow and dependent on resolving these differences before year-end procedural deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$16,818 Vol.
September 30
1%
December 31
22%
$16,818 Vol.
September 30
1%
December 31
22%
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...House Republicans advanced the framework for a third reconciliation package in July 2026 by narrowly passing a budget resolution that directs committees to produce recommendations on defense funding tied to Iran operations, farm aid, and election integrity measures by mid-September. The actual bill has not yet cleared the House floor, however, as Senate Republicans prioritize completing appropriations and government funding measures first, while internal GOP divisions persist over spending levels, offsets, and procedural sequencing. With the House operating on a compressed September schedule ahead of the November midterms and a subsequent lame-duck period, the window for floor action remains narrow and dependent on resolving these differences before year-end procedural deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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