Recent discussions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin have centered on a possible trilateral meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Kremlin statements confirm the idea was raised during their September phone call, elevating China as the leading venue in trader assessments. Ongoing U.S. envoy efforts to advance Ukraine peace talks add uncertainty about whether a bilateral or trilateral encounter will occur by year-end, supporting the second-place position of no meeting by December 31. No comparable recent diplomatic signals point to other locations such as Gulf countries, Russia, or the United States, leaving those outcomes at low implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China 56%
No meeting by December 31 36%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$942,721 Vol.
$942,721 Vol.

China
56%

No meeting by December 31
36%

Gulf country
3%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
No meeting by December 31 36%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$942,721 Vol.
$942,721 Vol.

China
56%

No meeting by December 31
36%

Gulf country
3%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent discussions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin have centered on a possible trilateral meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Kremlin statements confirm the idea was raised during their September phone call, elevating China as the leading venue in trader assessments. Ongoing U.S. envoy efforts to advance Ukraine peace talks add uncertainty about whether a bilateral or trilateral encounter will occur by year-end, supporting the second-place position of no meeting by December 31. No comparable recent diplomatic signals point to other locations such as Gulf countries, Russia, or the United States, leaving those outcomes at low implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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