Pre-release tracking for the Colleen Hoover adaptation *Verity* has centered on a $30–40 million domestic opening, driven by star power from Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson alongside the author's proven box office draw. However, the R-rated psychological thriller faces headwinds from its edgier tone compared to prior PG-13 Hoover adaptations like *It Ends With Us*, plus direct competition from an untitled Tom Cruise vehicle on the same October 2 date. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the 25–28 million band leading at 30.5% amid broad dispersion across lower ranges that accounts for genre risks and historical performance of similar three-handers such as *A Simple Favor*. Traders are watching final presales and early reviews for momentum shifts before the wide release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office
28m+ 31%
25-28m 29%
<16m 27%
22-25m 22%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<16m
27%
16-19m
18%
19-22m
16%
22-25m
22%
25-28m
29%
28m+
31%
28m+ 31%
25-28m 29%
<16m 27%
22-25m 22%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<16m
$0 Vol.
27%
16-19m
$0 Vol.
18%
19-22m
$0 Vol.
16%
22-25m
$0 Vol.
22%
25-28m
$0 Vol.
29%
28m+
$40 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Pre-release tracking for the Colleen Hoover adaptation *Verity* has centered on a $30–40 million domestic opening, driven by star power from Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson alongside the author's proven box office draw. However, the R-rated psychological thriller faces headwinds from its edgier tone compared to prior PG-13 Hoover adaptations like *It Ends With Us*, plus direct competition from an untitled Tom Cruise vehicle on the same October 2 date. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the 25–28 million band leading at 30.5% amid broad dispersion across lower ranges that accounts for genre risks and historical performance of similar three-handers such as *A Simple Favor*. Traders are watching final presales and early reviews for momentum shifts before the wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Pre-release tracking for the Colleen Hoover adaptation *Verity* has centered on a $30–40 million domestic opening, driven by star power from Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson alongside the author's proven box office draw. However, the R-rated psychological thriller faces headwinds from its edgier tone compared to prior PG-13 Hoover adaptations like *It Ends With Us*, plus direct competition from an untitled Tom Cruise vehicle on the same October 2 date. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the 25–28 million band leading at 30.5% amid broad dispersion across lower ranges that accounts for genre risks and historical performance of similar three-handers such as *A Simple Favor*. Traders are watching final presales and early reviews for momentum shifts before the wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$40End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pre-release tracking for the Colleen Hoover adaptation *Verity* has centered on a $30–40 million domestic opening, driven by star power from Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson alongside the author's proven box office draw. However, the R-rated psychological thriller faces headwinds from its edgier tone compared to prior PG-13 Hoover adaptations like *It Ends With Us*, plus direct competition from an untitled Tom Cruise vehicle on the same October 2 date. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the 25–28 million band leading at 30.5% amid broad dispersion across lower ranges that accounts for genre risks and historical performance of similar three-handers such as *A Simple Favor*. Traders are watching final presales and early reviews for momentum shifts before the wide release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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