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icon for Ukraine election called by...?
Geopolitics·Ukraine

Ukraine election called by...?

icon for Ukraine election called by...?
Geopolitics·Ukraine

Ukraine election called by...?

$1,846,365 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,846,365 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$87,210 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ukraine's constitutional framework and martial law, extended through at least late October 2026, continue to prohibit presidential and parliamentary elections, with the Verkhovna Rada's term automatically prolonged during wartime. Recent public calls by former defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov for a vote this fall, alongside polling showing declining support for President Zelenskyy and stronger hypothetical showings for rivals such as Valerii Zaluzhnyi and Fedorov himself, have intensified domestic debate but produced no scheduling announcement. Security challenges—including displaced voters, occupied territories, and ongoing Russian strikes—remain central barriers, while Russia’s September 18–20 parliamentary elections underscore the contrast. Any near-term call would require either lifting martial law or new legislation, both tied to progress toward a ceasefire or negotiated settlement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,846,365
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 11:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ukraine's constitutional framework and martial law, extended through at least late October 2026, continue to prohibit presidential and parliamentary elections, with the Verkhovna Rada's term automatically prolonged during wartime. Recent public calls by former defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov for a vote this fall, alongside polling showing declining support for President Zelenskyy and stronger hypothetical showings for rivals such as Valerii Zaluzhnyi and Fedorov himself, have intensified domestic debate but produced no scheduling announcement. Security challenges—including displaced voters, occupied territories, and ongoing Russian strikes—remain central barriers, while Russia’s September 18–20 parliamentary elections underscore the contrast. Any near-term call would require either lifting martial law or new legislation, both tied to progress toward a ceasefire or negotiated settlement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,846,365
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 11:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ukraine election called by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 10%, followed by "December 31, 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ukraine election called by...?" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ukraine election called by...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ukraine election called by...?" is "December 31, 2026" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 31, 2025" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ukraine election called by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.