Recent preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20, 2026 State Duma election show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia maintaining a clear lead for third place behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. LDPR's established regional structures, nationalist positioning, and polling support near 9-11 percent have sustained its edge over New People, whose results have tracked lower in the final weeks. The five-percent threshold and mixed proportional-single mandate system further shape seat outcomes among systemic opposition parties. With over 90 percent of votes processed in early tallies, final certification by the Central Election Commission would need substantial reversals in remaining districts or electronic voting to alter the order.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 95.3%
New People (NL) 3.3%
United Russia (ER) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$246,423 Vol.
$246,423 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
95%
New People (NL)
3%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 95.3%
New People (NL) 3.3%
United Russia (ER) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$246,423 Vol.
$246,423 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$77,183 Vol.
95%
New People (NL)
$81,188 Vol.
3%
United Russia (ER)
$7,726 Vol.
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$39,023 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$20,954 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$4,019 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,593 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$13,737 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20, 2026 State Duma election show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia maintaining a clear lead for third place behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. LDPR's established regional structures, nationalist positioning, and polling support near 9-11 percent have sustained its edge over New People, whose results have tracked lower in the final weeks. The five-percent threshold and mixed proportional-single mandate system further shape seat outcomes among systemic opposition parties. With over 90 percent of votes processed in early tallies, final certification by the Central Election Commission would need substantial reversals in remaining districts or electronic voting to alter the order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$246,423End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20, 2026 State Duma election show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia maintaining a clear lead for third place behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. LDPR's established regional structures, nationalist positioning, and polling support near 9-11 percent have sustained its edge over New People, whose results have tracked lower in the final weeks. The five-percent threshold and mixed proportional-single mandate system further shape seat outcomes among systemic opposition parties. With over 90 percent of votes processed in early tallies, final certification by the Central Election Commission would need substantial reversals in remaining districts or electronic voting to alter the order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$246,423End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20, 2026 State Duma election show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia maintaining a clear lead for third place behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. LDPR's established regional structures, nationalist positioning, and polling support near 9-11 percent have sustained its edge over New People, whose results have tracked lower in the final weeks. The five-percent threshold and mixed proportional-single mandate system further shape seat outcomes among systemic opposition parties. With over 90 percent of votes processed in early tallies, final certification by the Central Election Commission would need substantial reversals in remaining districts or electronic voting to alter the order.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
99%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100%
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