**A Just Russia cleared the 5% party-list threshold in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections, securing roughly 5.13% of the federal vote and 16 total seats per Central Election Commission tallies.** As one of the established systemic opposition parties, it benefited from consistent Kremlin-aligned positioning, targeted single-mandate district wins, and pre-election polling that placed it near or above the barrier despite softer overall ratings. Late-stage vote adjustments during tabulation helped finalize passage amid reports of administrative support to preserve the multi-party Duma configuration. Trader consensus at 99.6% reflects the official outcome and historical precedent for such parties receiving institutional backing. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification timing, any formal challenges to precinct results, or shifts in how the market defines threshold clearance if additional protocols alter the precise share.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$71,373 Vol.
$71,373 Vol.
$71,373 Vol.
$71,373 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x65070be91...**A Just Russia cleared the 5% party-list threshold in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections, securing roughly 5.13% of the federal vote and 16 total seats per Central Election Commission tallies.** As one of the established systemic opposition parties, it benefited from consistent Kremlin-aligned positioning, targeted single-mandate district wins, and pre-election polling that placed it near or above the barrier despite softer overall ratings. Late-stage vote adjustments during tabulation helped finalize passage amid reports of administrative support to preserve the multi-party Duma configuration. Trader consensus at 99.6% reflects the official outcome and historical precedent for such parties receiving institutional backing. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification timing, any formal challenges to precinct results, or shifts in how the market defines threshold clearance if additional protocols alter the precise share.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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