Pre-release tracking for Angel Studios’ action comedy thriller *Runner*, opening wide on September 11, anchors trader consensus around modest single-digit domestic grosses in a post-summer frame. Star power from Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson, combined with the high-concept cartel chase premise, supports a floor that keeps the 6 million-plus outcome in the lead at 35.5% implied probability. Comparable recent Angel releases and early mixed critical reception near 60% on Rotten Tomatoes have capped expectations for breakout performance, while the 4–5 million range sits as the next most favored at 16.5%. The September 13 box office update will provide the first major resolution signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office
6m+ 36%
5-6m 15%
4-5m 15%
3-4m 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<3m
7%
3-4m
10%
4-5m
15%
5-6m
13%
6m+
36%
6m+ 36%
5-6m 15%
4-5m 15%
3-4m 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<3m
$167 Vol.
7%
3-4m
$121 Vol.
10%
4-5m
$176 Vol.
15%
5-6m
$192 Vol.
13%
6m+
$616 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Pre-release tracking for Angel Studios’ action comedy thriller *Runner*, opening wide on September 11, anchors trader consensus around modest single-digit domestic grosses in a post-summer frame. Star power from Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson, combined with the high-concept cartel chase premise, supports a floor that keeps the 6 million-plus outcome in the lead at 35.5% implied probability. Comparable recent Angel releases and early mixed critical reception near 60% on Rotten Tomatoes have capped expectations for breakout performance, while the 4–5 million range sits as the next most favored at 16.5%. The September 13 box office update will provide the first major resolution signal.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,272End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Pre-release tracking for Angel Studios’ action comedy thriller *Runner*, opening wide on September 11, anchors trader consensus around modest single-digit domestic grosses in a post-summer frame. Star power from Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson, combined with the high-concept cartel chase premise, supports a floor that keeps the 6 million-plus outcome in the lead at 35.5% implied probability. Comparable recent Angel releases and early mixed critical reception near 60% on Rotten Tomatoes have capped expectations for breakout performance, while the 4–5 million range sits as the next most favored at 16.5%. The September 13 box office update will provide the first major resolution signal.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,272End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pre-release tracking for Angel Studios’ action comedy thriller *Runner*, opening wide on September 11, anchors trader consensus around modest single-digit domestic grosses in a post-summer frame. Star power from Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson, combined with the high-concept cartel chase premise, supports a floor that keeps the 6 million-plus outcome in the lead at 35.5% implied probability. Comparable recent Angel releases and early mixed critical reception near 60% on Rotten Tomatoes have capped expectations for breakout performance, while the 4–5 million range sits as the next most favored at 16.5%. The September 13 box office update will provide the first major resolution signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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