**Trader consensus on "Onslaught" opening weekend has coalesced around a sub-$2 million domestic gross due to soft pre-release tracking and muted early audience response.** The A24 action-horror film, Adam Wingard’s return to intimate genre roots after the Godzilla franchise, opened across roughly 1,900 screens on Labor Day weekend with mixed critical reception (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a C CinemaScore that signaled limited repeat viewings or word-of-mouth momentum. Modest marketing, a crowded holiday frame, and the absence of major star-driven appeal further capped expectations for a $15 million production. An upset into the $3 million-plus range would require either significantly stronger presales or an unexpected surge in holiday family attendance that overrides the current reception signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
<2m 97.8%
2-3m 1.0%
3-4m <1%
4-5m <1%
$32,419 Vol.
$32,419 Vol.
<2m
98%
2-3m
1%
3-4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6m+
<1%
<2m 97.8%
2-3m 1.0%
3-4m <1%
4-5m <1%
$32,419 Vol.
$32,419 Vol.
<2m
98%
2-3m
1%
3-4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6m+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on "Onslaught" opening weekend has coalesced around a sub-$2 million domestic gross due to soft pre-release tracking and muted early audience response.** The A24 action-horror film, Adam Wingard’s return to intimate genre roots after the Godzilla franchise, opened across roughly 1,900 screens on Labor Day weekend with mixed critical reception (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a C CinemaScore that signaled limited repeat viewings or word-of-mouth momentum. Modest marketing, a crowded holiday frame, and the absence of major star-driven appeal further capped expectations for a $15 million production. An upset into the $3 million-plus range would require either significantly stronger presales or an unexpected surge in holiday family attendance that overrides the current reception signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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