Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler maintains a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district, where an R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters reflect the seat’s structural advantages. Reschenthaler, who secured 66.6 percent in 2024, cleared his May primary unopposed while outraising Democrat Alan Bradstock by a wide margin. Bradstock, a retired FBI agent and veteran, also faced no primary opposition but trails significantly in visibility and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals in a low-profile contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPA-14 House Election Winner
PA-14 House Election Winner
$25,495 Vol.
$25,495 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Guy Reschenthaler (R)
95%
Alan Bradstock (D)
6%
$25,495 Vol.
$25,495 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Guy Reschenthaler (R)
$12,427 Vol.
95%
Alan Bradstock (D)
$13,069 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler maintains a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district, where an R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters reflect the seat’s structural advantages. Reschenthaler, who secured 66.6 percent in 2024, cleared his May primary unopposed while outraising Democrat Alan Bradstock by a wide margin. Bradstock, a retired FBI agent and veteran, also faced no primary opposition but trails significantly in visibility and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals in a low-profile contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,495End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler maintains a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district, where an R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters reflect the seat’s structural advantages. Reschenthaler, who secured 66.6 percent in 2024, cleared his May primary unopposed while outraising Democrat Alan Bradstock by a wide margin. Bradstock, a retired FBI agent and veteran, also faced no primary opposition but trails significantly in visibility and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals in a low-profile contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,495End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler maintains a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district, where an R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters reflect the seat’s structural advantages. Reschenthaler, who secured 66.6 percent in 2024, cleared his May primary unopposed while outraising Democrat Alan Bradstock by a wide margin. Bradstock, a retired FBI agent and veteran, also faced no primary opposition but trails significantly in visibility and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals in a low-profile contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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