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icon for Netanyahu out by...?
Geopolitics·Middle East

Netanyahu out by...?

icon for Netanyahu out by...?
Geopolitics·Middle East

Netanyahu out by...?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$124,276,075 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Earn 3.25%
Polymarket

$124,276,075 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$2,422,505 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election serves as the central driver for expectations around Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s tenure.** The vote, held after the current coalition completed a full four-year term, functions as a referendum on his leadership amid ongoing conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, plus lingering criticism over the October 2023 Hamas attack. Recent polls show a fragmented race, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party frequently edging Likud and Netanyahu’s broader right-wing bloc projected near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Netanyahu has confirmed he will run, pursued list mergers among allies to boost turnout, and signaled openness to a broad national government while retaining core partners. Post-election coalition talks, which could extend weeks or months, and potential legal or international pressures if he loses office remain key variables that could determine the timing of any transition.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,276,075
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election serves as the central driver for expectations around Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s tenure.** The vote, held after the current coalition completed a full four-year term, functions as a referendum on his leadership amid ongoing conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, plus lingering criticism over the October 2023 Hamas attack. Recent polls show a fragmented race, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party frequently edging Likud and Netanyahu’s broader right-wing bloc projected near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Netanyahu has confirmed he will run, pursued list mergers among allies to boost turnout, and signaled openness to a broad national government while retaining core partners. Post-election coalition talks, which could extend weeks or months, and potential legal or international pressures if he loses office remain key variables that could determine the timing of any transition.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,276,075
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Netanyahu out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 54%, followed by "March 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Netanyahu out by...?" has generated $124.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Netanyahu out by...?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Netanyahu out by...?" is "December 31" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Netanyahu out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.