Narendra Modi’s continued tenure as India’s prime minister, marked by his June 2026 milestone as the longest-serving elected leader and active public schedule through September, underpins the 93.8% trader consensus against him leaving office by year-end. The NDA government and cabinet passed formal resolutions praising his record and “Viksit Bharat” agenda, while the BJP conducted a leadership reorganization focused on 2029 electoral preparations. Recent diplomatic engagements, economic project launches, and fintech initiatives show no signs of transition. Temporary youth-led protests earlier in the year prompted one ministerial resignation but produced no substantiated pressure or statements indicating an early exit, consistent with the next general election timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$251,104 Vol.
$251,104 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% chance
$251,104 Vol.
$251,104 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s continued tenure as India’s prime minister, marked by his June 2026 milestone as the longest-serving elected leader and active public schedule through September, underpins the 93.8% trader consensus against him leaving office by year-end. The NDA government and cabinet passed formal resolutions praising his record and “Viksit Bharat” agenda, while the BJP conducted a leadership reorganization focused on 2029 electoral preparations. Recent diplomatic engagements, economic project launches, and fintech initiatives show no signs of transition. Temporary youth-led protests earlier in the year prompted one ministerial resignation but produced no substantiated pressure or statements indicating an early exit, consistent with the next general election timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$251,104End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s continued tenure as India’s prime minister, marked by his June 2026 milestone as the longest-serving elected leader and active public schedule through September, underpins the 93.8% trader consensus against him leaving office by year-end. The NDA government and cabinet passed formal resolutions praising his record and “Viksit Bharat” agenda, while the BJP conducted a leadership reorganization focused on 2029 electoral preparations. Recent diplomatic engagements, economic project launches, and fintech initiatives show no signs of transition. Temporary youth-led protests earlier in the year prompted one ministerial resignation but produced no substantiated pressure or statements indicating an early exit, consistent with the next general election timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$251,104End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s continued tenure as India’s prime minister, marked by his June 2026 milestone as the longest-serving elected leader and active public schedule through September, underpins the 93.8% trader consensus against him leaving office by year-end. The NDA government and cabinet passed formal resolutions praising his record and “Viksit Bharat” agenda, while the BJP conducted a leadership reorganization focused on 2029 electoral preparations. Recent diplomatic engagements, economic project launches, and fintech initiatives show no signs of transition. Temporary youth-led protests earlier in the year prompted one ministerial resignation but produced no substantiated pressure or statements indicating an early exit, consistent with the next general election timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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