Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a strong position in the NC-13 race, reflecting the district's Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting and its R+8 Cook PVI rating. Knott secured the GOP nomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary and benefits from the area's performance in the prior cycle, where Donald Trump carried the district by 7.5 points. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his party's primary, faces structural challenges in a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Fundraising shows both candidates active, but the race lacks recent polling shifts or major events that would narrow the gap. The current trader consensus aligns with the district's fundamentals and Knott's incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-13 House Election Winner
NC-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Knott (R)
84%
Paul Barringer (D)
16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Knott (R)
$4,317 Vol.
84%
Paul Barringer (D)
$5,314 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a strong position in the NC-13 race, reflecting the district's Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting and its R+8 Cook PVI rating. Knott secured the GOP nomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary and benefits from the area's performance in the prior cycle, where Donald Trump carried the district by 7.5 points. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his party's primary, faces structural challenges in a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Fundraising shows both candidates active, but the race lacks recent polling shifts or major events that would narrow the gap. The current trader consensus aligns with the district's fundamentals and Knott's incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$9,631End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a strong position in the NC-13 race, reflecting the district's Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting and its R+8 Cook PVI rating. Knott secured the GOP nomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary and benefits from the area's performance in the prior cycle, where Donald Trump carried the district by 7.5 points. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his party's primary, faces structural challenges in a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Fundraising shows both candidates active, but the race lacks recent polling shifts or major events that would narrow the gap. The current trader consensus aligns with the district's fundamentals and Knott's incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,631End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a strong position in the NC-13 race, reflecting the district's Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting and its R+8 Cook PVI rating. Knott secured the GOP nomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary and benefits from the area's performance in the prior cycle, where Donald Trump carried the district by 7.5 points. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his party's primary, faces structural challenges in a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Fundraising shows both candidates active, but the race lacks recent polling shifts or major events that would narrow the gap. The current trader consensus aligns with the district's fundamentals and Knott's incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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