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icon for Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

icon for Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

4% chance
Polymarket

$166,519 Vol.

4% chance
Polymarket

$166,519 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei’s fixed constitutional term, set to run through December 2027 following his 2023 election, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus that he will not leave office early. Recent polling shows presidential approval holding steady near 35-42% despite elevated disapproval and economic concerns such as stalled GDP growth and unemployment, yet these levels have not triggered institutional challenges. Milei continues advancing legislative priorities, including Malvinas-related measures, and has publicly positioned his party for the October 2027 contest, with surveys indicating he remains competitive. No credible reports of resignation pressure, impeachment proceedings, or coalition collapse have emerged. Late-breaking developments such as a severe health crisis, major corruption findings prompting congressional action, or sharp economic deterioration could still alter the outlook, though current conditions support the market’s assessment of continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$166,519
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei’s fixed constitutional term, set to run through December 2027 following his 2023 election, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus that he will not leave office early. Recent polling shows presidential approval holding steady near 35-42% despite elevated disapproval and economic concerns such as stalled GDP growth and unemployment, yet these levels have not triggered institutional challenges. Milei continues advancing legislative priorities, including Malvinas-related measures, and has publicly positioned his party for the October 2027 contest, with surveys indicating he remains competitive. No credible reports of resignation pressure, impeachment proceedings, or coalition collapse have emerged. Late-breaking developments such as a severe health crisis, major corruption findings prompting congressional action, or sharp economic deterioration could still alter the outlook, though current conditions support the market’s assessment of continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$166,519
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?" has generated $166.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.