**Latest forecast models and real-time observations from Shanghai meteorological stations indicate the overnight minimum will reach exactly 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity.** Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and local updates, converge on a low in the 21–23°C range, with 22°C as the most consistent value amid typical early-September transitional conditions. This aligns with historical September baselines for the region, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by cloud cover and urban heat effects. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 22°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing measurements, though a clear-sky surprise or station-specific variance could still shift the official reading by 1°C. Final resolution awaits the complete daily report from authoritative Chinese meteorological authorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
22°C 96%
21°C 2.6%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
$15,392 Vol.
$15,392 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
96%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 96%
21°C 2.6%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
$15,392 Vol.
$15,392 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$195 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$739 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$750 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,676 Vol.
3%
22°C
$4,134 Vol.
96%
23°C
$4,476 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$797 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast models and real-time observations from Shanghai meteorological stations indicate the overnight minimum will reach exactly 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity.**
Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and local updates, converge on a low in the 21–23°C range, with 22°C as the most consistent value amid typical early-September transitional conditions. This aligns with historical September baselines for the region, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by cloud cover and urban heat effects. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 22°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing measurements, though a clear-sky surprise or station-specific variance could still shift the official reading by 1°C. Final resolution awaits the complete daily report from authoritative Chinese meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15,392End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast models and real-time observations from Shanghai meteorological stations indicate the overnight minimum will reach exactly 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity.**
Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and local updates, converge on a low in the 21–23°C range, with 22°C as the most consistent value amid typical early-September transitional conditions. This aligns with historical September baselines for the region, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by cloud cover and urban heat effects. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 22°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing measurements, though a clear-sky surprise or station-specific variance could still shift the official reading by 1°C. Final resolution awaits the complete daily report from authoritative Chinese meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,392End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast models and real-time observations from Shanghai meteorological stations indicate the overnight minimum will reach exactly 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity.** Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and local updates, converge on a low in the 21–23°C range, with 22°C as the most consistent value amid typical early-September transitional conditions. This aligns with historical September baselines for the region, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by cloud cover and urban heat effects. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 22°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing measurements, though a clear-sky surprise or station-specific variance could still shift the official reading by 1°C. Final resolution awaits the complete daily report from authoritative Chinese meteorological authorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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