**Persistent warm, humid conditions under a southeasterly flow are anchoring overnight lows in the upper 70s across Houston on September 10.** National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a Thursday night low near 78°F following daytime highs in the low 90s amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 38% implied probability and the nearby 76-77°F outcome at 32.5%, as the current air mass lacks any frontal passage or drier intrusion that could produce more typical mid-September cooling to the 73.9°F climatological average. Recent observations show elevated minimums (e.g., 77-80°F range in prior days), with model consensus and official guidance converging on minimal overnight drops despite afternoon convection. Key resolution factors include precise station readings at official sites like Hobby or Intercontinental airports, where cloud cover and storm timing introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 10?
71°F or below 70%
90°F or higher 56%
76-77°F 43%
86-87°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
70%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
40%
90°F or higher
56%
71°F or below 70%
90°F or higher 56%
76-77°F 43%
86-87°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
$60 Vol.
70%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
21%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$54 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$29 Vol.
33%
80-81°F
$465 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$13 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
40%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
40%
90°F or higher
$5 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions under a southeasterly flow are anchoring overnight lows in the upper 70s across Houston on September 10.** National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a Thursday night low near 78°F following daytime highs in the low 90s amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 38% implied probability and the nearby 76-77°F outcome at 32.5%, as the current air mass lacks any frontal passage or drier intrusion that could produce more typical mid-September cooling to the 73.9°F climatological average. Recent observations show elevated minimums (e.g., 77-80°F range in prior days), with model consensus and official guidance converging on minimal overnight drops despite afternoon convection. Key resolution factors include precise station readings at official sites like Hobby or Intercontinental airports, where cloud cover and storm timing introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$636End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions under a southeasterly flow are anchoring overnight lows in the upper 70s across Houston on September 10.** National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a Thursday night low near 78°F following daytime highs in the low 90s amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 38% implied probability and the nearby 76-77°F outcome at 32.5%, as the current air mass lacks any frontal passage or drier intrusion that could produce more typical mid-September cooling to the 73.9°F climatological average. Recent observations show elevated minimums (e.g., 77-80°F range in prior days), with model consensus and official guidance converging on minimal overnight drops despite afternoon convection. Key resolution factors include precise station readings at official sites like Hobby or Intercontinental airports, where cloud cover and storm timing introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$636End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions under a southeasterly flow are anchoring overnight lows in the upper 70s across Houston on September 10.** National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a Thursday night low near 78°F following daytime highs in the low 90s amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 38% implied probability and the nearby 76-77°F outcome at 32.5%, as the current air mass lacks any frontal passage or drier intrusion that could produce more typical mid-September cooling to the 73.9°F climatological average. Recent observations show elevated minimums (e.g., 77-80°F range in prior days), with model consensus and official guidance converging on minimal overnight drops despite afternoon convection. Key resolution factors include precise station readings at official sites like Hobby or Intercontinental airports, where cloud cover and storm timing introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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