Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22, 2026, from sources including Chinese meteorological platforms and international models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers possible. These conditions stem from seasonal weakening of summer monsoon influences and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus favoring 21°C (48%) and 20°C (34%) reflects model agreement on this narrow range, while lower outcomes like 15°C or below (19%) remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Upcoming official updates from regional weather agencies could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 22?
25°C or higher 94%
15°C or below 83%
21°C 48%
20°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
15°C or below
83%
16°C
32%
17°C
31%
18°C
32%
19°C
31%
20°C
34%
21°C
48%
22°C
34%
23°C
32%
24°C
31%
25°C or higher
94%
25°C or higher 94%
15°C or below 83%
21°C 48%
20°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
83%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
34%
21°C
$190 Vol.
48%
22°C
$0 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
31%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22, 2026, from sources including Chinese meteorological platforms and international models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers possible. These conditions stem from seasonal weakening of summer monsoon influences and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus favoring 21°C (48%) and 20°C (34%) reflects model agreement on this narrow range, while lower outcomes like 15°C or below (19%) remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Upcoming official updates from regional weather agencies could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$190End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22, 2026, from sources including Chinese meteorological platforms and international models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers possible. These conditions stem from seasonal weakening of summer monsoon influences and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus favoring 21°C (48%) and 20°C (34%) reflects model agreement on this narrow range, while lower outcomes like 15°C or below (19%) remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Upcoming official updates from regional weather agencies could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$190End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22, 2026, from sources including Chinese meteorological platforms and international models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers possible. These conditions stem from seasonal weakening of summer monsoon influences and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus favoring 21°C (48%) and 20°C (34%) reflects model agreement on this narrow range, while lower outcomes like 15°C or below (19%) remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Upcoming official updates from regional weather agencies could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions