**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.** Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high. The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 10?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$65,979 Vol.
$65,979 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$65,979 Vol.
$65,979 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
$5,843 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,158 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,133 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,484 Vol.
No
21°C
$17,134 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$9,033 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,230 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,998 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,147 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,497 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$1,321 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.**
Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high.
The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$65,979End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.**
Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high.
The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,979End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.** Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high. The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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