Recent India Meteorological Department and numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C for Lucknow on September 21, supported by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited moisture that favors modest daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rainfall to suppress it. This aligns with the late-monsoon transition period when regional highs typically range 33–35°C, consistent with historical September averages of 33–34°C and recent observations of 34–36°C across Uttar Pradesh stations. Trader consensus at 51.5% for 34°C reflects these stable conditions, though minor model variations in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift the peak by 1°C, with final readings from official Lucknow observatories determining resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 21?
34°C 59%
33°C 29%
35°C 12%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
29%
34°C
59%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 59%
33°C 29%
35°C 12%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
29%
34°C
59%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department and numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C for Lucknow on September 21, supported by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited moisture that favors modest daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rainfall to suppress it. This aligns with the late-monsoon transition period when regional highs typically range 33–35°C, consistent with historical September averages of 33–34°C and recent observations of 34–36°C across Uttar Pradesh stations. Trader consensus at 51.5% for 34°C reflects these stable conditions, though minor model variations in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift the peak by 1°C, with final readings from official Lucknow observatories determining resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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