Recent heat in Karachi stems from weakened southwesterly sea breezes linked to Arabian Sea circulation patterns, pushing the September 21 maximum to 40.7°C at official stations—the highest in nine years. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for September 22 center on 36–38°C amid easing conditions and rising humidity, though urban stations have shown variability up to 41°C previously. Trader consensus favoring 38–39°C reflects uncertainty over localized heat retention, model spread in steering flows, and historical September extremes near 43°C, with resolution hinging on the day's peak reading across monitored sites as cooler air advection strengthens later in the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 22?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 22?
38°C 36%
39°C 34%
37°C 13%
40°C 12%
NEW
$18,114 Vol.
NEW
$18,114 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
13%
38°C
36%
39°C
34%
40°C
12%
41°C or higher
2%
38°C 36%
39°C 34%
37°C 13%
40°C 12%
NEW
$18,114 Vol.
NEW
$18,114 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
31°C or below
$376 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$892 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$928 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$153 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,293 Vol.
2%
37°C
$1,476 Vol.
13%
38°C
$2,471 Vol.
36%
39°C
$3,715 Vol.
34%
40°C
$1,726 Vol.
12%
41°C or higher
$4,390 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat in Karachi stems from weakened southwesterly sea breezes linked to Arabian Sea circulation patterns, pushing the September 21 maximum to 40.7°C at official stations—the highest in nine years. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for September 22 center on 36–38°C amid easing conditions and rising humidity, though urban stations have shown variability up to 41°C previously. Trader consensus favoring 38–39°C reflects uncertainty over localized heat retention, model spread in steering flows, and historical September extremes near 43°C, with resolution hinging on the day's peak reading across monitored sites as cooler air advection strengthens later in the week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$18,114End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat in Karachi stems from weakened southwesterly sea breezes linked to Arabian Sea circulation patterns, pushing the September 21 maximum to 40.7°C at official stations—the highest in nine years. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for September 22 center on 36–38°C amid easing conditions and rising humidity, though urban stations have shown variability up to 41°C previously. Trader consensus favoring 38–39°C reflects uncertainty over localized heat retention, model spread in steering flows, and historical September extremes near 43°C, with resolution hinging on the day's peak reading across monitored sites as cooler air advection strengthens later in the week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,114End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat in Karachi stems from weakened southwesterly sea breezes linked to Arabian Sea circulation patterns, pushing the September 21 maximum to 40.7°C at official stations—the highest in nine years. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for September 22 center on 36–38°C amid easing conditions and rising humidity, though urban stations have shown variability up to 41°C previously. Trader consensus favoring 38–39°C reflects uncertainty over localized heat retention, model spread in steering flows, and historical September extremes near 43°C, with resolution hinging on the day's peak reading across monitored sites as cooler air advection strengthens later in the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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