**Trader consensus heavily favors a 36°C high in Jeddah on September 17, reflecting model agreement on typical late-summer conditions.** Regional forecasts from sources including NOAA-aligned and local meteorological guidance indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, supporting peak temperatures around 36–37°C under high humidity and stable pressure near 1006 hPa. September climatology for Jeddah shows average highs near 35–37°C, with minimal deviation expected absent major atmospheric shifts. The strong implied probability aligns with consistent observational trends and short-term model runs showing no intensification of heat or cooling influences. A realistic challenge could arise from thicker cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift from the north that limits daytime heating, though current data show low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 17?
36°C 91%
37°C 8%
38°C 1.1%
39°C or higher <1%
$21,393 Vol.
$21,393 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
91%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 91%
37°C 8%
38°C 1.1%
39°C or higher <1%
$21,393 Vol.
$21,393 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
91%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 36°C high in Jeddah on September 17, reflecting model agreement on typical late-summer conditions.** Regional forecasts from sources including NOAA-aligned and local meteorological guidance indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, supporting peak temperatures around 36–37°C under high humidity and stable pressure near 1006 hPa. September climatology for Jeddah shows average highs near 35–37°C, with minimal deviation expected absent major atmospheric shifts. The strong implied probability aligns with consistent observational trends and short-term model runs showing no intensification of heat or cooling influences. A realistic challenge could arise from thicker cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift from the north that limits daytime heating, though current data show low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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