**Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Chengdu on September 19, 2026, reflects current forecast model outputs showing a maximum near that threshold under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds.** Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate daytime peaks limited to around 23°C, with hourly readings expected to top out in the early afternoon before cooling under overcast skies and high humidity near 80-90%. This positioning aligns with autumnal cooling patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where reduced solar heating and regional moisture suppress temperatures below late-summer norms. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or model error allowing a brief spike to 24°C or higher, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
23°C 94%
24°C 4%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$25,120 Vol.
$25,120 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
94%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 94%
24°C 4%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$25,120 Vol.
$25,120 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,182 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,549 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,489 Vol.
94%
24°C
$4,359 Vol.
4%
25°C
$2,020 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,100 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,685 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,759 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Chengdu on September 19, 2026, reflects current forecast model outputs showing a maximum near that threshold under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds.** Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate daytime peaks limited to around 23°C, with hourly readings expected to top out in the early afternoon before cooling under overcast skies and high humidity near 80-90%. This positioning aligns with autumnal cooling patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where reduced solar heating and regional moisture suppress temperatures below late-summer norms. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or model error allowing a brief spike to 24°C or higher, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$25,120End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Chengdu on September 19, 2026, reflects current forecast model outputs showing a maximum near that threshold under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds.** Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate daytime peaks limited to around 23°C, with hourly readings expected to top out in the early afternoon before cooling under overcast skies and high humidity near 80-90%. This positioning aligns with autumnal cooling patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where reduced solar heating and regional moisture suppress temperatures below late-summer norms. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or model error allowing a brief spike to 24°C or higher, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,120End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Chengdu on September 19, 2026, reflects current forecast model outputs showing a maximum near that threshold under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds.** Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate daytime peaks limited to around 23°C, with hourly readings expected to top out in the early afternoon before cooling under overcast skies and high humidity near 80-90%. This positioning aligns with autumnal cooling patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where reduced solar heating and regional moisture suppress temperatures below late-summer norms. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or model error allowing a brief spike to 24°C or higher, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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