Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Busan highs on September 24 will likely reach 27–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly or variable winds and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions stem from a stable warm air mass and moderate humidity levels around 50–60% during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon maxima several degrees above the late-September climatological average of about 24–25°C. Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited upside from daytime insolation while cloud cover or slight steering changes could cap readings near 28°C or allow brief pushes to 31°C. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model consensus in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 24?
30°C 47%
29°C 24%
31°C 23%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
24%
30°C
47%
31°C
23%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
29°C 24%
31°C 23%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
24%
30°C
47%
31°C
23%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Busan highs on September 24 will likely reach 27–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly or variable winds and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions stem from a stable warm air mass and moderate humidity levels around 50–60% during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon maxima several degrees above the late-September climatological average of about 24–25°C. Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited upside from daytime insolation while cloud cover or slight steering changes could cap readings near 28°C or allow brief pushes to 31°C. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model consensus in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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