Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD-MOS converge on a September 22 high of 16–17 °C for Munich, with light northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and negligible precipitation limiting afternoon heating. This synoptic pattern—stable high pressure and modest insolation—keeps the peak below the long-term average of 18.8 °C while still allowing enough daytime warming to favor the upper end of the narrow range. Trader consensus at 71.5 % for 17 °C reflects this tightening model agreement and the absence of warmer or cooler outliers in recent guidance; resolution hinges on the official DWD maximum observation, with any final overnight model shift the only near-term variable that could reprice the 16 °C or 18 °C contracts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 22?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 22?
17°C 70%
16°C 17%
18°C 14%
15°C 1.0%
NEW
$17,078 Vol.
NEW
$17,078 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
17%
17°C
70%
18°C
14%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 70%
16°C 17%
18°C 14%
15°C 1.0%
NEW
$17,078 Vol.
NEW
$17,078 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
13°C or below
$254 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$77 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,393 Vol.
1%
16°C
$3,321 Vol.
17%
17°C
$4,435 Vol.
70%
18°C
$4,358 Vol.
14%
19°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$567 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$752 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD-MOS converge on a September 22 high of 16–17 °C for Munich, with light northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and negligible precipitation limiting afternoon heating. This synoptic pattern—stable high pressure and modest insolation—keeps the peak below the long-term average of 18.8 °C while still allowing enough daytime warming to favor the upper end of the narrow range. Trader consensus at 71.5 % for 17 °C reflects this tightening model agreement and the absence of warmer or cooler outliers in recent guidance; resolution hinges on the official DWD maximum observation, with any final overnight model shift the only near-term variable that could reprice the 16 °C or 18 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,078End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD-MOS converge on a September 22 high of 16–17 °C for Munich, with light northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and negligible precipitation limiting afternoon heating. This synoptic pattern—stable high pressure and modest insolation—keeps the peak below the long-term average of 18.8 °C while still allowing enough daytime warming to favor the upper end of the narrow range. Trader consensus at 71.5 % for 17 °C reflects this tightening model agreement and the absence of warmer or cooler outliers in recent guidance; resolution hinges on the official DWD maximum observation, with any final overnight model shift the only near-term variable that could reprice the 16 °C or 18 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,078End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD-MOS converge on a September 22 high of 16–17 °C for Munich, with light northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and negligible precipitation limiting afternoon heating. This synoptic pattern—stable high pressure and modest insolation—keeps the peak below the long-term average of 18.8 °C while still allowing enough daytime warming to favor the upper end of the narrow range. Trader consensus at 71.5 % for 17 °C reflects this tightening model agreement and the absence of warmer or cooler outliers in recent guidance; resolution hinges on the official DWD maximum observation, with any final overnight model shift the only near-term variable that could reprice the 16 °C or 18 °C contracts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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