Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 25.6°C. Recent model runs show limited afternoon warming potential amid stable high pressure and minimal moisture, keeping the distribution centered on 28–29°C while capping upside risk above 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with these official guidance updates, emphasizing the narrow range of possible outcomes given the short lead time and absence of strong synoptic drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on September 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 19?
29°C 42%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
27%
29°C
42%
30°C
19%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
23°C or below
$527 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,206 Vol.
1%
26°C
$365 Vol.
3%
27°C
$642 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,233 Vol.
27%
29°C
$868 Vol.
42%
30°C
$768 Vol.
19%
31°C
$284 Vol.
4%
32°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 25.6°C. Recent model runs show limited afternoon warming potential amid stable high pressure and minimal moisture, keeping the distribution centered on 28–29°C while capping upside risk above 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with these official guidance updates, emphasizing the narrow range of possible outcomes given the short lead time and absence of strong synoptic drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,785End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 25.6°C. Recent model runs show limited afternoon warming potential amid stable high pressure and minimal moisture, keeping the distribution centered on 28–29°C while capping upside risk above 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with these official guidance updates, emphasizing the narrow range of possible outcomes given the short lead time and absence of strong synoptic drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,785End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 25.6°C. Recent model runs show limited afternoon warming potential amid stable high pressure and minimal moisture, keeping the distribution centered on 28–29°C while capping upside risk above 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with these official guidance updates, emphasizing the narrow range of possible outcomes given the short lead time and absence of strong synoptic drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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