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icon for ¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?

¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?

icon for ¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?

¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?

2% probabilidad
Polymarket

$149,530 Vol.

2% probabilidad
Polymarket

$149,530 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Colombia security cooperation under President Abelardo de la Espriella has strengthened bilateral ties through joint counter-narcotics operations, $1 billion in U.S. assistance, and agreements on critical minerals and civil nuclear energy. The right-wing Colombian leader, inaugurated in August 2026, has authorized coordinated actions against designated terrorist and criminal organizations, aligning with Trump administration priorities on drug trafficking and regional stability. This partnership follows strained relations under the prior administration and includes discussions of equipment support and possible U.S. involvement in targeted strikes with Colombian forces. Trader consensus reflects these developments, which prioritize alliance-building over confrontation. Shifts could arise from major escalations in cross-border threats or unforeseen diplomatic ruptures, though current trajectories indicate sustained collaboration through 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$149,530
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Colombia security cooperation under President Abelardo de la Espriella has strengthened bilateral ties through joint counter-narcotics operations, $1 billion in U.S. assistance, and agreements on critical minerals and civil nuclear energy. The right-wing Colombian leader, inaugurated in August 2026, has authorized coordinated actions against designated terrorist and criminal organizations, aligning with Trump administration priorities on drug trafficking and regional stability. This partnership follows strained relations under the prior administration and includes discussions of equipment support and possible U.S. involvement in targeted strikes with Colombian forces. Trader consensus reflects these developments, which prioritize alliance-building over confrontation. Shifts could arise from major escalations in cross-border threats or unforeseen diplomatic ruptures, though current trajectories indicate sustained collaboration through 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$149,530
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Invadirá Estados Unidos a Colombia en 2026?" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 2¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?" ha generado $149.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?" es "¿Invadirá Estados Unidos a Colombia en 2026?" con solo 2%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Estados Unidos invadirá Colombia en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.