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icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

$456,688 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$456,688 Vol.

Polymarket

Stefan Brodie

$2,809 Vol.

21%

Roger Stone

$7,846 Vol.

18%

Donald Brodie

$3,948 Vol.

16%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,534 Vol.

15%

Ryan Salame

$31,464 Vol.

12%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Steve Bannon

$8,029 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Roger Ver

$1,617 Vol.

8%

Matt Gaetz

$5,163 Vol.

7%

Young Thug

$4,702 Vol.

7%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

6%

Julian Assange

$4,218 Vol.

6%

Martin Shkreli

$30,439 Vol.

6%

Nicolás Maduro

$10,351 Vol.

5%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,607 Vol.

5%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,849 Vol.

4%

Diddy

$30,169 Vol.

4%

Edward Snowden

$3,183 Vol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$135,732 Vol.

4%

Derek Chauvin

$26,571 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

3%

Andrew Tate

$1,035 Vol.

3%

Él mismo

$13,648 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,621 Vol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued over 1,700 clemency actions since January 2025, including a blanket pardon for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day back in office and additional grants for fake electors in late 2025. Recent developments show continued grants in 2026 favoring politically connected recipients who bypass traditional DOJ guidelines, often through allies or influencers, with examples including drug offenders, a Philadelphia union leader, and associates linked to prominent figures. This pattern reflects executive discretion exercised via personal networks rather than formal processes. Traders assess candidates based on demonstrated proximity to the administration, lobbying activity, and timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution, as further actions remain possible ahead of year-end without scheduled milestones that would force broader releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$456,688
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued over 1,700 clemency actions since January 2025, including a blanket pardon for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day back in office and additional grants for fake electors in late 2025. Recent developments show continued grants in 2026 favoring politically connected recipients who bypass traditional DOJ guidelines, often through allies or influencers, with examples including drug offenders, a Philadelphia union leader, and associates linked to prominent figures. This pattern reflects executive discretion exercised via personal networks rather than formal processes. Traders assess candidates based on demonstrated proximity to the administration, lobbying activity, and timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution, as further actions remain possible ahead of year-end without scheduled milestones that would force broader releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$456,688
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 28 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Stefan Brodie" con 21%, seguido de "Roger Stone" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 21¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 21% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" ha generado $456.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?", explora los 28 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es "Stefan Brodie" con 21%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 21% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Roger Stone" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.